Pair #2014

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-MLAS

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Michael La Sasso finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Michael La Sasso
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 615

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael La Sasso finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-MLAS

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Michael La Sasso finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Michael La Sasso
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael La Sasso finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: If La Sasso finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse does not hold — he could finish 6th-10th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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