Pair #2012

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-TDET

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Thomas Detry finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13105

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thomas Detry finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-TDET

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Thomas Detry finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Thomas Detry
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4900

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thomas Detry finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:25Z

Reasoning: If Detry finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — he could finish 6th-10th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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