Pair #2010

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BGRA

Will Branden Grace win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Branden Grace
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 103111

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Branden Grace wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BGRA

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Branden Grace finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Branden Grace
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1125

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Branden Grace finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 5. But finishing top 5 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue