Pair #2009

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-LCAN

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Laurie Canter finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Laurie Canter
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 915

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Laurie Canter finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-LCAN

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Laurie Canter finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Laurie Canter
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 624

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Laurie Canter finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish is necessarily also a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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