Pair #2008

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-AKIM

Will Anthony Kim win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13708

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Anthony Kim wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-AKIM

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Anthony Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 714

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Anthony Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 10. But finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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