Pair #2007

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-AKIM

Will Anthony Kim win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13708

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Anthony Kim wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-AKIM

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Anthony Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1028

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Anthony Kim finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is inside the top 5. But finishing top 5 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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