Pair #2006

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-AKIM

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Anthony Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1028

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Anthony Kim finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-AKIM

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Anthony Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Anthony Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 714

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Anthony Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish is necessarily also a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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