KXNHL-26-BOS
Will Boston Bruins win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1735152
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLEAST-26-BOS
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Boston Bruins
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 200889
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:03:41Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, Boston must have won the Eastern Conference Finals (as the Eastern Conference representative in the Finals). Winning the Cup does not require winning the division. The reverse does not hold — winning the ECF does not guarantee winning the Cup.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-30.21%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0300
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-34.43%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:43:47Z