Pair #1993

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 341

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandt Snedeker makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3357

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:51Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish — many players make the cut and finish outside the top 10. A top 10 finish does imply making the cut, but that direction is B→A, so top 10 implies making the cut. However Event B is top 10 and Event A is make cut, so the antecedent would be KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BSNE implying KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BSNE.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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