Pair #1991

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VAC26-BSNE

Will Brandt Snedeker lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 876

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 341

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:51Z

Reasoning: Leading at the end of Round 2 means the player is at the top of the leaderboard after two rounds, which necessarily means they made the cut (the cut is made after Round 2). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply leading.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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