Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VAC26-BSNE
Will Brandt Snedeker win the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1049926
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brandt Snedeker wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BSNE
Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3357
YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:51Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.7600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A