Pair #199

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VAN

Will Vancouver Canucks win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Vancouver Canucks
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 731

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-VAN

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vancouver Canucks
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2714

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vancouver Canucks wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:03:41Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division does not require winning the Western Conference Finals (a division winner could lose in earlier rounds). Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Pacific Division (a wild card team could win the conference).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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