Pair #1986

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VAC26-BSNE

Will Brandt Snedeker lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 876

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55291

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 does not require leading after Round 2, and leading after Round 2 does not guarantee a top 5 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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