Pair #1985

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-BSNE

Will Brandt Snedeker win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1049926

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

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Rules

If Brandt Snedeker wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55291

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 5. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 5 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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