Pair #1984

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3357

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20616

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:30Z

Reasoning: If Snedeker finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — he could finish between 11th and 20th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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