Pair #1983

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20616

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 341

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:30Z

Reasoning: If Snedeker finishes top 20, he must have made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 20 overall without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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