Pair #1980

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 55291

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-BSNE

Valspar Championship: Will Brandt Snedeker finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20616

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-20T08:00:30Z

Reasoning: If Snedeker finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — he could finish, say, 15th (top 20 but not top 5).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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