Pair #1967

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-TWIL

Valspar Championship: Will Tyler Wilkes finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tyler Wilkes
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1578

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyler Wilkes finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-TWIL

Valspar Championship: Will Tyler Wilkes make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyler Wilkes
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5042

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyler Wilkes makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:41:33Z

Reasoning: If Tyler Wilkes finishes top 20, he must have made the cut (players who miss the cut cannot finish in the top 20). The reverse is not true: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue