Pair #1938

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-VWHA

Valspar Championship: Will Vince Whaley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2026

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vince Whaley finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-VWHA

Valspar Championship: Will Vince Whaley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Vince Whaley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vince Whaley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:41:03Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 logically requires having made the cut first. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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