Pair #193

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-DET

Will Detroit Red Wings win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Detroit Red Wings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16100

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-DET

Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Detroit Red Wings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1890

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Detroit Red Wings wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:03:26Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall record in the NHL) does not require winning the Atlantic Division specifically — another team in the division could have a better divisional record while Detroit has the best overall record via non-division games, or Detroit could win the division without the best overall record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

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