Pair #1928

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR17COLDIM-DIM

Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Collignon vs Dimitrov : Round Of 128 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Grigor Dimitrov
Expiration: 2026-03-17T18:00:00Z
Volume: 72123

YES ask: 0.7400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Grigor Dimitrov wins the Collignon vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR17COLDIM-1-DIM

Will Grigor Dimitrov win set 1 in the Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Grigor Dimitrov
Expiration: 2026-03-17T18:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Grigor Dimitrov wins set 1 in the Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:40:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the match does not require winning set 1. Winning set 1 does not require winning the match. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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