Pair #1926

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR17MPEUGO-UGO

Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli win the Mpetshi Perricard vs Ugo Carabelli : Round Of 128 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Expiration: 2026-03-17T18:00:00Z
Volume: 77034

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins the Mpetshi Perricard vs Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR17MPEUGO-1-UGO

Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli win set 1 in the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Expiration: 2026-03-17T18:00:00Z
Volume: 911

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set 1 in the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:40:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the match does not require winning set 1. Winning set 1 does not require winning the match. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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