Pair #1915

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-MKUC

Will Matt Kuchar win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1307

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-MKUC

Valspar Championship: Will Matt Kuchar make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2672

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:40:29Z

Reasoning: To win a golf tournament, a player must make the cut and play all rounds. If Kuchar wins the Valspar Championship, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue