Pair #1913

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-DJOH

Will Dustin Johnson win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 63329

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Dustin Johnson wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-DJOH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1608

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:40:29Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not a PGA Tour Major. Winning it does not imply winning a major, and winning a major does not imply winning LIV Golf South Africa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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