Pair #1911

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-DJOH

Will Dustin Johnson win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2398576

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Dustin Johnson wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-DJOH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Dustin Johnson
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1608

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dustin Johnson wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:40:29Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four PGA majors. If Dustin Johnson wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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