Pair #1896

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-SGAR

Will Sergio Garcia win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Sergio Garcia
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 28546

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Sergio Garcia wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SGAR

Will Sergio Garcia win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sergio Garcia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 787417

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sergio Garcia wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the LIV Golf South Africa are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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