Pair #1895

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JDAY

Will Jason Day win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 5591033

YES ask: 0.0330
NO ask: 0.9690
Last: 0.0330

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Rules

If Jason Day wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-JDAY

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Jason Day
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2460

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jason Day wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: If Jason Day wins the Masters, he has won a PGA Tour Major in 2026, so Event B must resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0390
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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