Pair #1893

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MMCN

Will Maverick McNealy win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2423032

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Maverick McNealy wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MMCN

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2833

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: If Maverick McNealy wins the Masters, he has won a PGA Tour Major in 2026, so Event B must resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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