Pair #1892

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CYOU

Will Cameron Young win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 15753126

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

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Rules

If Cameron Young wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-CYOU

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 65874

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: If Cameron Young wins the Masters, he has won a PGA Tour Major in 2026, so Event B must resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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