Pair #1890

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 10181182

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Ludvig Aberg wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-LABE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 22176

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

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Rules

If Ludvig Aberg wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: If Ludvig Aberg wins the Masters, he has won a PGA Tour Major in 2026, so Event B must resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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