Pair #1888

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSTR

Will Sepp Straka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1834446

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Sepp Straka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-SSTRA

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 6689

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: If Sepp Straka wins the Masters Tournament, he has won one of the four majors, so the 'wins a PGA Tour Major in 2026' market must also resolve Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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