Pair #1887

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVR1LEAD-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8342

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 28452

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:49Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 of a LIV Golf event has no logical connection to winning a PGA Tour Major. These are entirely separate events with no necessary relationship in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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