Pair #1886

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 727086

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.6000

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Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 28452

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:30Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not a PGA Tour major. Winning it does not imply winning a major, and winning a major does not imply winning the LIV Golf South Africa. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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