Pair #1885

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVR1LEAD-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8342

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 727086

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:30Z

Reasoning: A player can win a tournament without having led after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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