Pair #1882

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 727086

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.6000

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Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BDEC

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8434

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in all four majors and winning LIV Golf South Africa are completely independent events. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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