Pair #1881

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

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Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BDEC

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 28452

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is winning a PGA Tour major. If DeChambeau wins the Masters, B must resolve YES. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1030
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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