Antecedent (if this happens)
KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BDEC
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the LIV Golf South Africa?
Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 727086
YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.6000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648
YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:30Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning LIV Golf South Africa are completely independent events. No logical implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.4480
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A