Pair #1866

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHEN

Will Russell Henley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3836117

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

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Rules

If Russell Henley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-RHEN

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 9400

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Russell Henley wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:39:11Z

Reasoning: If Henley wins the Masters, he has won a major in 2026, so the major win market resolves Yes. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0550
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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