Pair #1861

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6184887

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Chris Gotterup wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-CGOT

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 23909

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:50Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is winning one of the four majors, so Gotterup winning the Masters necessarily means he wins a PGA major in 2026. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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