KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-CMOR
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Collin Morikawa finish top 10?
Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5470
YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CMOR
Will Collin Morikawa win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6531994
YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0040
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:50Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters guarantees a top-10 at the Masters but not top 10 in all four majors. The all-4 top-10 market resolves YES only if Morikawa finishes top 10 in every major, which winning one does not ensure. No implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-2.61%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0040
Days to maturity:
55
Hurdle yield:
4.21%
Excess yield:
-6.82%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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