Pair #1857

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MWLE

Will Min Woo Lee win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3343364

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Min Woo Lee wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-MWLE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5466

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:50Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is winning one of the four majors, so Min Woo Lee winning the Masters necessarily means he wins a PGA major in 2026. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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