Pair #1856

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6938197

YES ask: 0.0640
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0640

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Rules

If Shane Lowry wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-SLOW

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2914

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:50Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is winning one of the four majors, so Lowry winning the Masters necessarily means he wins a PGA major in 2026. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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