Pair #1849

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 13758916

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Patrick Reed wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-PREE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 10393

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:30Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four golf majors. If Patrick Reed wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major without winning the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0520
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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