Pair #1845

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-DWAL

Will Danny Walker win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122415

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Danny Walker wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DWAL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 973

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Danny Walker makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, which requires making the cut. Win → made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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