Pair #1844

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-DWAL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Walker finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 31358

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DWAL

Valspar Championship: Will Danny Walker finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15515

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:38:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 (including ties) necessarily means finishing top 10 (including ties). The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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