Pair #1825

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-EVAN

Will Erik Van Rooyen win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1934

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-EVAN

Valspar Championship: Will Erik Van Rooyen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 269

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:50Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valspar Championship requires making the cut — you must survive the cut to play the final rounds and win. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue