Pair #1814

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VAC26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6871

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR3LEAD-VAC26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 3 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2513

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:27Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 3 does not require having led after Round 2, and leading after Round 2 does not require leading after Round 3. A player can move into or out of the lead between rounds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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