Pair #1810

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 7618694

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

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Rules

If Akshay Bhatia wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-ABHA

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 13832

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:27Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four PGA major tournaments. If Bhatia wins the Masters, he has necessarily won a major in 2026, so B must resolve YES. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0550
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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