Pair #1800

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-HLEB

Valspar Championship: Will Hank Lebioda make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 278

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hank Lebioda makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-HLEB

Will Hank Lebioda lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Hank Lebioda
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1962

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hank Lebioda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:07Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could shoot a very poor Round 2 score and miss the cut), so no logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue