Pair #1796

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-DBRO

Will Daniel Brown win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2712

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Daniel Brown wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-DBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Daniel Brown make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Daniel Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 499

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniel Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:37:07Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Daniel Brown must complete all rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning necessarily implies making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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